Daily - Go to TTD's     Chart scroller of  Breakout Stocks    -  Tuesday -  December 11,  2018

{short description of image}

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List  - Tuesday - December 11, 2018

Daily - Bullish Aggressive Investor - Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (74% win rate) - Tuesday - December 11, 2018

Go To Prior Days TTD "Pro Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, December 10, 2018

 


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks


{short description of image}

Ticker Tape Digest

Friday - December 7, 2018


TTD does not publish Monday. We resume Tuesday.


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

   Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.

  We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

   The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

   To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.   

   For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Friday - December 7, 2018

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts so far today -  None

Quality of Breakouts -  None

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -  No Breakouts Friday as stock market falls sharply. Bulls be conservative.

Stock market  -  All major market averages are bearish daily, weekly and monthly, except for the monthly Dow.

  Bulls need to be patient. The stock market is in a bear phase. Bears may find opportunities. However, volatility can be expected.

Stock Market Momentum

(Daily is based on a moving average)

Market (Daily)

 Market (Weekly)

 Market (Monthly)  

 Dow - Bearish

 Dow - Bearish

 Dow - Bullish,

  Nasdaq - Bearish

  Nasdaq - Bearish

Nasdaq - Bearish 

   S&P 500 - Bearish

  S&P 500 - Bearish

  S&P 500 - Bearish


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Friday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

None


No Breakouts - Friday. So, TTD Features a Stock Near A Breakout

Argo Group Intl. Holdings (ARGO) - 69.37, up 0.31 - Breakpoint 69.95

Net To Climb 19% in 2019, TTD Targets 84 

                TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ARGO -  ABOVE AVERAGE

  ARGO, based in Bermuda, provides insurance and reinsurance for the property and casualty market. Annual revenues: $1.8 billion. ARGO's stock moves higher Friday. It is in good position to breakout from its five-week flat base.

  There were no breakout stocks Friday. So, TTD highlights ARGO as a potential breakout.

  Friday, ARGO traded a light 106,502 shares. Its average daily volume is 133,000 shares.

  ARGO rose in the morning reaching an intraday high of $69.76.

 The stock then backed off a bit and trended mostly sideways the rest of the day.

  Tape Action

  ARGO's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $68.20 in the prior session to as high as $69.69 Friday morning.

  A key bullish trade came in the prior session when a block of 800 shares crossed at $68.57.

  That was up from the prior block at $68.20 on 2,600 shares.   

  Near the close Friday a block of 16,363 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $69.37.

  That came on a down tick from the prior trade at $69.38 on 100 shares.

  Business

  ARGO operates through four areas: Excess and surplus Lines, commercial, International and syndicate 1200.

  Excess and Surplus focus on risks that the standard market is unwilling to underwrite.

The Excess and Surplus Lines segment consists of two operating platforms: Colony Specialty and Argo Pro.

Commercial provides property, casualty and surety coverages are for businesses within certain markets. International underwrites insurance and reinsurance risks. It operates as Argo Re in Bermuda, and Argo Seguros Brazil,

The Syndicate 1200 segment underwrites around the world property, specialty and non-U.S. liability insurance.

Charts

  ARGO's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 32% versus a breakeven for the stock market.

  ARGO's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $20 back in 2012 to a peak near $50 by 2015. The stock based and then broke out and has continued to trend higher.

  Although conservative, ARGO's stock has performed very well long-term.  

  ARGO's daily chart shows the stock breaking out from a base in early November.

  That came when the company reported net of 68 cents a share.

  That topped consensus Street estimates of 49 cents a share.

  Afterwards, the stock consolidated with a flat base with a wedge to the upside.

  It is well positioned to breakout. ARGO's CCI momentum indicator (bottom of chart) has backed off a bit.

   Earnings Outlook:

  This year, analysts are forecasting a profit of $3.34 a share compared with a loss of 42 cents the year before.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 20. TTD sees that as reasonable.

  Looking out to 2019, the Street predicts a 19% increase in net to $3.98 a share from the anticipated $3.34 this year.

  Profits for the upcoming fourth quarter are expected to come in at 66 cents a share compared with a loss of 57 cents the year before.

  The highest estimate on the Street is at 80 cents a share. The company beat the consensus the prior three quarters.

  For the first quarter, analysts look for $1.05 a share, flat with the year before. The highest estimate, though, is at $1.15 a share.

Strategy Opinion:  TTD suggest entry on a breakout over 69.95. TTD sees ARGO climbing to $84 after a breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 66.50 after a breakout.

Intermediate-Term Rating: Average

Suitability:  Aggressive Bulls

                 TTD's special research of  Stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Breakout Success - Modestly Bullish -  ARGO has tended to score just modest gains off its recent breakouts.

Probability - Earnings Response - Bullish-  ARGO rose 5 times after the past 8 earnings reports when there was a significant change.

Probability:  Seasonal Success -  Slightly Bearish.  ARGO declined an average of 0.6% in December and fell 3.1% in January the past several years.


           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior  to cut below 50-day M/A.

Date of Breakout

Break point Price

Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A

  Date Trade Closed

               8%

    11/6/2018

     64.41

       69.37

   Still in play

             10%

    3/16/2018

     57.91

       64.15

   6/8/2018

             15%

    11/9/2016

     50.43

       58.17

   12/23/2016

             13%

    10/5/2015

     46.14

       52.32

    10/28/2015

             12%

    5/11/2015

     40.97

       45.78

    8/19/2015

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)


  Stock's Long-term Chart


 Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  -  Insider Selling in Red


   Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years

Showing % Months UP and % Change

               


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Argo Group Intl Holdings Ltd. (ARGO)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume   YES
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread   YES
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score   12 0 2


Ticker Tape Digest's

Pre-Market Breakout Watch List

Selections for - Tuesday - December 11, 2018


Ticker Tape Digest provides a list of potential breakout stocks from our screen of companies that will show some of the strongest earnings gains. One of the best ways to play these stocks is to study the list and then place a stop buy order to catch the stock on the breakout.

One can take either a full position on the breakout if they are aggressive, or scale-in looking to add to the stake later if they are conservative. TTD's premarket breakout watch list gives you a great opportunity "to be prepared for the next key breakout stock just before it happens." The list will be updated daily and the screen monthly.


TTD's Breakout Watch List Set up on December 3, 2018

Latest prices are December 10, 2018

Stocks with Gain in blue have surpassed their breakpoint and have broken out of their base.





Guide: Symbol=Ticker, Name=Corporate name, Entry is the buy price to enter on the breakout, Last=prior close, Change=change from last close to prior, Date=date of price of close etc, Gain in blue is price above breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is price below breakpoint (entry)., % Gain in blue is % over breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is % below breakpoint (entry)

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking Trade Setups for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest.


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 20 - Max.

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears:  Favorable.

Bear Side - Large list of breakdown stocks. Stock market continues to mover lower. Bears can be venturesome.

  TTD's short from Thursday was Children's Place Inc. (PLCE) at 106.67. Friday, PLCE fell 4.39 to 102.28 and is working well for bears.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Big Lots Inc. (BIG) -  31

Posts Large Loss,  TTD Sees Drop to 25

  BIG, based in Columbus, Ohio, operates discount stores selling food, home products and toys. Annual revenues: $5.3 billion. BIG's stock falls sharply Friday after reporting a loss.

  TTD sees more on the downside.

  So far today, BIG is trading 13.9 million shares, 13 times its average daily volume of 1 million shares.

  BIG's stock rose in the morning to a peak at $111.98. However, the stock rolled over and moved steadily lower cutting through its support area.

  BIG finished near its low for the session. That is bearish.

  Tape Action

  BIG's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $40.34 in the prior session to as low as $30.71 in the afternoon.

  A key bearish trade came late on Thursday when a block of 136,107 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $40.30.

  That was down from the prior block at $40.34 on 21,900 shares.

  Business

  BIG operates 1,432 shares in the U.S. selling a lot of retail products.

  They include furniture, food items, Home products, electronics, toys.

  The company has stores in several states such as  Alabama, Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Michigan, Nevada, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Carolina, Texas, Utah and Washington.

 Earnings:

  This fiscal year ending in January analysts have been forecasting a profit of $4.44 a share versus $4.45 the year before.

  However, with the big miss in the fiscal third quarter, net should be only $4.30 a share. The company did miss on its quarterly results the prior two quarters by 8 cents a share and 24 cents.

 For the important fiscal fourth quarter, the Street is forecasting a 14% increase in net to $2.93 a share from the $2.57 the year before.

Charts:   

  PLCE's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower and cutting below key technical support.

  PLCE's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 48% versus a breakeven for the stock market.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BIG for a decline to $25 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $33.

Suitability: Aggressive Bears.

  TTD's special probability research of  Prior Performance:  

Probability - Earnings Response - Bearish.  -   BIG rose 4 times after the past 11 earnings reports when there was a significant change in price.

Probability:  Seasonal Activity - Bearish. -    BIG has averaged a loss of 13.7% in December but a 1.2% gain in January the past several years.


   TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BIG -  BELOW AVERAGE


   Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

          


   TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2018

    TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been  a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

{short description of image}

   For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680.

   Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.


  TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.  

 TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays.  There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.  


TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.

 Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.


(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)