Daily - Go to TTD's     Chart scroller of  Breakout Stocks    -  Friday,  November 17, 2017

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Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Monday, November 20, 2017

Daily - Bullish Aggressive Investor - Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (80% win rate this year) - Monday, November 20, 2017

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, November 20, 2017

 

 


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks


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Ticker Tape Digest

Friday - November 17, 2017


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

      Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

   2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

    To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.    For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Friday - November 17, 2017

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 8

Quality of Breakouts - Average

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -  Modest number of breakouts Friday. Bulls be selective.

Stock market  - All major averages remain bullish except for the daily Dow. Stock market now appears to be in a consolidation phase. Bulls need to be watchful.

Stock Market Momentum

(Based on 15 unit moving average)

Market (Daily)

 Market (Weekly)

 Market (Monthly)  

 Dow - Bearish

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish,

  Nasdaq - Bullish

  Nasdaq - Bullish

Nasdaq - Bullish 

        S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Friday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Splunk Inc. (SPLK) - 81.70, up 12.40 - Breakpoint 71.49

Net Tops Street Estimates, TTD Targets 97

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SPLK  - ABOVE AVERAGE

  SPLK, based in San Francisco, develops software to be used to collect, index, search, explore, monitor and analyze data. annual revenues: $950 million. SPLK's stock surges higher Friday and breaks out from an 11-week, cup-and-handle base.

  So far today, SPLK is trading a heavy 13.2 million shares, eight times its average daily volume of 1.6 million shares.

  TTD highlighted SPLK as a breakout at our midsession video show on the web Friday.

  The push higher was triggered by better-than-expected quarterly earnings.

  SPLK came in with net for the fiscal third quarter ended in October of 17 cents a share.

  That topped the consensus Street estimate of 14 cents a share.

  SPLK's 10-minute chart shows the stock spiking higher in the morning and clearing its breakpoint line.

  The stock then worked gradually higher and closed near its high for the session.

  Tape Action

  SPLK's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $69.30 in the prior session to as high as $81.73 Friday.

  A key bullish trade came in near Friday's opening when a block of 165,501 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $79.04.

  That was up sharply from the prior block trade at $69.30 on 41,919 shares.   

  The block trades show some profit taking late in the morning.

  However, the stock did close firm for the day.

  Business

   SPLK's products handle diverse data sets that are referred to as big data and are specifically used for machine data.

  Machine data is produced by various software application and electronic devices and contain a definitive, time-stamped record of various activities, such as transactions, customer and user activities and security threats.

 SPLK's products are used for information technology (IT), security and business professionals, to analyze their machine data and achieve real-time visibility.

In addition, the Company offers user behavioral analytics to help detect, respond to and mitigate advanced, hidden and insider threats.

Charts

  SPLK's 12-month  performance chart shows the stock appreciating 30% versus a 19% gain for the stock market.

  Insiders have been recent buyers using stock options at 57 cents a share. They were sellers at $63 to $70 a share.

  SPLK's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in May of 2012. The stock surged to an all-time high of 106.15 by early 2014.

  The stock then pulled back to around $40.$60 and trading in a range.

  The move Friday carries SPLK to a three-year high.

  SPLK's daily chart shows the stock climbing to around $69 by September.

  The stock then put down a cup-and-handle base.

  The breakout is powerful coming with a gap move and big volume.

  SPLK's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.

   Earnings Outlook

  Analysts have been forecasting a 35% increase net for the fiscal year ending in January. They have been looking fro 55 cents a share, up from 41 cents a year ago. However, that estimate could get boosted.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of  147. That is high. So, the stock is best for an aggressive investor.

  Going out to fiscal 2019 ending in January, analysts are predicting a 49% jump in net to 83 cents a share from the anticipated 55 cents this fiscal year.

  Net for the upcoming fiscal fourth quarter ending in January is being projected at 33 cents a share, a 19% decline from the 41 cents the year before. However, that estimate could get boosted.

  For the fiscal first quarter of fiscal 2018 ending in April, analysts are looking for a profit of 4 cents a share compared with a loss of one cent the year before.   

Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting SPLK for a move to $97. A protective stop can be placed near $76. TTD suggests a scale-in strategy.

  TTD rates SPLK an average intermediate-term play.

Suitability:  Very Aggressive Bulls.

        TTD's special research of  Stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Breakout Success - Bullish - SPLK has scored just modes gains off breakouts recently. However,it was in a trading range the past few years. If the stock goes into an up trend, it could do better.

Probability - Earnings Response - Bullish - SPLK rose 5 times after 8 earnings reports when there was a significant change.

Probability:  Seasonal Success - Neutral - Volatile - SPLK has risen an average of 7.9%  in November. However, it has declined an average of 7.3%  in December.


           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior  to cut below 50-day M/A.

Date of Breakout

Break point Price

Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A

  Date Trade Closed

             17%

    11/16/2017      69.57        81.70    Still in play

             11%

    8/25/2017      62.54        69.53    9/22/2017

               8%

    4/25/2017      63.67        68.83    5/16/2017
               8%     7/28/2016      60.05        64.91     8/15/2015
             27%     1/14/2014      75.17        95.50     2/27/2014

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)


  Stock's Long-term Chart


   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red


   Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years

Showing % Months UP and % Change

               


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Splunk Inc. - (SPLK)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term     YES
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES  
Earnings-Long Term     YES
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success   YES
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score 11 0 3


Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - URI - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ROST -  AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PVH  - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DG  - AVERAGE


Ticker Tape Digest's

Pre-Market Breakout Watch List

Selections for - Monday - November 20, 2017


Ticker Tape Digest provides a list of potential breakout stocks from our screen of companies that will show some of the strongest earnings gains. One of the best ways to play these stocks is to study the list and then place a stop buy order to catch the stock on the breakout.

One can take either a full position on the breakout if they are aggressive, or scale-in looking to add to the stake later if they are conservative. TTD's premarket breakout watch list gives you a great opportunity "to be prepared for the next key breakout stock just before it happens." The list will be updated daily and the screen monthly.


TTD's Breakout Watch List Set up on November 2, 2017

Latest prices are November 17, 2017

Stocks with Gain in blue have surpassed their breakpoint and have broken out of their base.



Guide: Symbol=Ticker, Name=Corporate name, Entry is the buy price to enter on the breakout, Last=prior close, Change=change from last close to prior, Date=date of price of close etc, Gain in blue is price above breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is price below breakpoint (entry)., % Gain in blue is % over breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is % below breakpoint (entry)

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking Trade Setups for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest.

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 2

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears:  Unfavorable.

Bear Side -  Small list of breakdown stocks Friday. Bears be conservative.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Mathews International Corp. (MATW) - 54.25, down 3.50

Net Disappoints, TTD Sees Drop to 47

  MATW, based in Pittsburgh, Pa., makes cemetery and architectural products. Annual revenues: $1.5 billion. MATW's stock falls sharply Friday after reporting disappointing earnings. TTD sees more on the downside.

  So far today, MATW is trading 214,507 shares, more than double its average daily volume of 83,000 shares.

  MATW reported earnings for the fiscal fourth quarter ended September 30 of $1.06 a share. That was well below the consensus estimate of $1.09 a share.

  Revenue rose 5%.

  MATW 's stock gapped lower in the morning. It touched an intraday low of $52.85.

  The stock then rallied back to around $56 by the early afternoon. However, it faded in the afternoon.

Tape Action

  MATW's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $57.75 in the prior session to as low as $53.32.

  A key bearish trade came Friday morning when a block of 4,186 shares crossed the tape at $54.

  That was down from the prior block at $57.75 on 10,566 shares.

  Business

  MATW makes brand memorialization products and industrial products.

 The company printing plates and cylinders, pre-media services and imaging services for consumer packaged goods and retail customers, merchandising display systems, and marketing and design services.

 The memorialization unit  makes products for cemeteries, funeral homes and crematories.

Earnings:

  This year, analysts are forecasting a 6% increase in net to $3.83 a share from the $3.60 the year before.

  Net for the fourth quarter is expected to rise 14% to 71 cents a share from 62 cents the year before.

  The company has missed on quarterly earnings twice out of the past four quarters.

Charts:   

  MATW's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower and undercutting key support with expanding volume.

  MATW's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 20% versus a 19% gain for the stock market.

  Insiders did just light selling this year around $65.60.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting MATW for a decline to $47 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $57.

Suitability: Average Bears.

  TTD's special probability research of  stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Earnings Response -  Extremely Bearish. MATE rose just 2 times out of the past 8 earnings reports when there was a significant change.

Probability:  Seasonal Activity - Bullish.  MATW rose an average of 3.3%  in November in prior years and 0.4% in December.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MATW -  BELOW AVERAGE


   Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

          


    TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best for bulls for the long side and best shorts for bears. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2017

  TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He was also a speaker and moderator at the Money Show conferences in Orlando, Fla., Las Vegas, Nev., San Francisco and other places. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680.

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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)